Friday, 24 February 2023

Addendum to “Sundown versus consistent GOP by county”

In my previous article “Sundown versus consistent GOP by county”, I noted my intention to discuss a number of counties in the northwest of West Virginia that were discussed barely or not at all by the late James Löwen in his Sundown Towns. Three of these, Ritchie County, Doddridge County, and Tyler County, I noted as among the most consistently partisan counties and as typical of fiercely Unionist counties in antebellum slave states (in effect, slave state counties without slaves).

Upon studying census data for the region surrounding these three counties, I noticed an almost continuous sundown area surrounding these three rock-ribbed Unionist GOP strongholds. The apparent sundown area extended as far east as heavily secessionist Webster County, which was only once won by a Republican before 2012, and also includes two counties in neighbouring Ohio.
Map of West Virginia and neighbouring areas with labelled counties showing the continuous sundown area around Ritchie, Tyler and Doddridge Counties. Dark red are likely or known sundown counties, red are highly possible sundown counties, and gold are counties that have had a population over 75,000 in at least one census.
County State Census
Total black population Number of black households
1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Monroe Ohio 80 102 84 90 62 37 45 21 7 2 2 3 9 19
Noble Ohio 94 37 37 44 24 28 24 9 3 1 0 4 6 4
Wetzel West Virginia 22 36 439 57 89 53 29 33 5 0 3 6 3 5
Pleasants West Virginia 26 9 6 9 7 0 0 3 8 0 8 0 2 5
Tyler West Virginia 6 2 94 115 52 35 27 20 12 1 4 0 0 1
Ritchie West Virginia 64 36 26 26 13 7 9 5 1 0 0 2 7 8
Doddridge West Virginia 54 131 25 8 1 20 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 2
Wirt West Virginia 13 24 64 40 35 25 38 20 13 0 0 2 4 4
Jackson West Virginia 103 87 115 26 12 4 1 3 6 0 5 9 8 24
Roane West Virginia 39 29 32 18 12 14 3 23 17 0 0 0 12 9
Calhoun West Virginia 74 81 83 80 36 12 7 10 12 0 0 0 1 2
Gilmer West Virginia 47 50 36 17 38 21 2 24 1 1 0 5 12 28
Clay West Virginia 0 0 18 5 147 170 201 58 66 0 0 0 1 2
Braxton West Virginia 104 134 187 221 273 188 160 111 119 22 28 29 28 27
Lewis West Virginia 323 261 178 239 291 122 93 62 95 19 17 8 8 13
Webster West Virginia 2 11 12 8 0 9 1 4 1 0 0 0 0 2
Nicholas West Virginia 58 21 19 48 68 65 24 32 6 0 4 1 2 10
Of the counties shown above, there is some discussion of Pleasants County here, but the fact that census data for surrounding counties indicates they were probably sundown is not noted. New Martinsville, the seat of Wetzel County, is also discussed here, but that Wetzel County was probably sundown throughout is never noted. It is worthwhile to note that in the 1860 census, the last before slavery was abolished, Ritchie County had no free blacks at all. The table above suggests that most of the counties in this sundown area got rid of their black populations in the 1900s, with this date being most apparent for Doddridge County, and not improbable for Wetzel, Ritchie, Roane and Jackson Counties. Some other counties — such as Calhoun and Gilmer — may have got rid of their black populations around the Depression era. (Tucker County, an isolated probable sundown county on the map, appears to have got rid of its African Americans only after Brown v. Board of Education. The same is true of Highland County, and possibly of Nicholas and Wirt).

In order to establish this as a distinct area of sundown or probably sundown counties, I have compiled census data for surrounding counties that have never had a population of 75,000 or greater in any census. (As I noted earlier, this cutoff may in fact be too large). Upshur County’s figures were already shown in the previous post, but Upshur is unlikely to have been a sundown county.
County State Census
Total black population Number of black households
1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Greene Pennsylvania 503 445 313 389 300 516 417 450 360 98 95 77 61 81
Marshall West Virginia 223 236 499 575 502 882 881 323 360 36 45 41 41 50
Guernsey Ohio 586 496 472 489 456 571 596 622 688 166 196 233 235 208
Morgan Ohio 193 160 131 147 233 275 377 361 500 122 162 209 204 184
Washington Ohio 1,243 1,412 1,597 1,378 1,165 1,185 1,143 865 843 205 299 291 244 265
Meigs Ohio 1,798 1,405 969 690 631 596 507 415 339 72 109 65 68 93
Mason West Virginia 859 759 537 349 227 692 670 755 529 58 37 32 44 45
Putnam West Virginia 355 237 378 435 397 124 145 12 13 27 18 41 99 173
Greenbrier West Virginia 1,981 1,993 1,829 1,779 1,726 2,329 2,430 2,014 1,879 483 516 508 487 445
Pocahontas West Virginia 334 353 625 445 558 638 646 628 373 56 30 30 21 12
Randolph West Virginia 112 262 519 376 431 342 391 385 260 61 51 38 41 44
Upshur West Virginia 201 256 221 226 196 201 155 92 71 19 20 29 22 27
Whilst most of these figures do suggest a definite boundary of the sundown area, it might be noted that most of Randolph County was probably sundown and may still be, although the county seat of Elkins and unincorporated parts of its associated district have always had at least thirty black households. Six of Randolph’s nine districts had no black household in 2010. Guernsey County shows a somewhat similar pattern: almost all the black households were and are in county seat Cambridge and the surrounding township. Mason County and Point Pleasant are similar though less extreme, as thirteen of 45 black households in the county lied outside its district. (That boundaries of large sundown areas do not correspond with county lines is the rule rather than the exception). Whether the apparently sundown part of Randolph became so before 1940 as the group of counties tabled above did, or with Brown v. Board as Tucker County apparently did, it is difficult to check with census data.

Thursday, 23 February 2023

Sundown versus consistent GOP by county

Studying US politics, one striking factor I noticed is the extremely consistent Republican voting of certain counties in the rural Midwest and nonplantation South. The constant partisanship of these counties contrasts strongly with the reversal frequently noticed by psephologists since the 1964 election between Lyndon Johnson and Barry Goldwater.

The extreme Republican loyalty of these counties is due to the fact that they were strongly supportive of the Union during the Civil War. Most lie in antebellum slave states, yet virtually nobody in these counties actually owned slaves. These counties’ almost entirely white populations refused vehemently to fight a war for lowland plantation owners. Those that lie outside antebellum slave states share many similar characteristics, but possessed even greater hostility towards the spread of slavery into the territories. These features led residents into extremely strong loyalty towards the unionist Republican Party, although, critically, they were opposed to any civil rights for blacks.

At its root, the American Civil War was, critically, a war over how to rid America of free blacks. In fact, as noted by the late Domenico Losurdo, the words “pariah” and “rogue”, used today for anti-American states, originated as words for a free black. Losurdo likewise notes that:
“Blacks not subject to slavery began [after the American Revolution] to be perceived as an anomaly that would sooner or later have to be rectified.”
and that:
“[Blacks in areas without slaves] were treated like ”a race legally and socially excommunicated, as the Helots of Sparta as the Pariahs of India disfranchised outcasts; a separate and degraded caste” [Leon F. Litwack, North of Slavery, University of Chicago Press, 1961, pages 67 and 97]”
Thus, these anti-slavery communities sought a means of deporting blacks to Africa, and indeed Abraham Lincoln was close to doing so after the Civil War, although there clearly existed no federal revenue source adequate to fund the cost of so doing. As the late James Löwen showed in his book Sundown Towns: A Hidden Dimension of American Racism, after the Compromise of 1877, these counties — unlike the plantation South lacking any need for black labour — attempted in many cases to expel black population who had moved out of the plantation South during Reconstruction. Before reading Löwen, I had assumed that these counties never had any black residents and the blacks had never wanted to move there, and it was something of a shock that blacks were de facto forbidden from living in almost all rural and suburban areas outside the plantation South.

Consequently, I am attempting to discover to what extent the consistently Republican counties have excluded blacks. Before Löwen died, I talked to him about this issue. Both Löwen and I noted that partisanship during the early Second Party System may provide clues as to which counties were most likely to exclude blacks a century and a quarter later. However, I did not do a systematic study of this, and it is cumbersome or expensive to get the necessary 1830s and 1840s election data. For this table I have included all counties meeting the following criteria:
  1. having either:
    1. voted Democratic no more than once since the Civil War, or
    2. consistently voted Republican since 1920
  2. and never had a population of 75,000 or larger at any census
    • studying the figures tabulated below, my instinct tells me that this 75,000 cutoff point, although smaller than that usually used to define “rural” counties, is likely too large
    • it is of course true that blacks could not live in many parts of counties with total populations much larger than 75,000
      • nevertheless, the largest county with zero black residents in the 1930 census — Portage County, Wisconsin, ironically one of only 130 counties to back George McGovern in 1972 and indeed among his 25 best counties nationwide — had only about 33,000 total residents
Counties are shaded according to how many black residents (in censuses up to 1960) and black households (in censuses since 1970) they are shown as having. Non-household blacks such as prison inmates and live-in servants obscure non-existence of free blacks in many rural counties outside the plantation South. This was corrected in the 1960 and 1970 censuses. Nevertheless published figures in Wikipedia and other encyclopedias still state racial composition by total population rather than by householders.
  1. Counties with zero blacks (to 1960) or black households (1970 and after) in at least one census are shaded dark red
    • Counties with at least three consecutive censuses with zero blacks or zero black households are bolded as well as shaded dark red
  2. Counties that do not fulfil criterion 1) but have fewer than ten blacks (to 1960) or no more than five black households (1970 and after) in at least one census are shaded red
  3. Counties that do not fulfil criteria 1) or 2) but have no more than twenty-five black households in at least one census since 1970 are shaded pink
  4. Counties which had at least ten blacks in every census to 1960 and at least twenty-six black households in every census since 1970 are unshaded
County State Total black population Number of black households
1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Boone Illinois 48 48 53 43 35 16 32 13 33 26 32 48 107 321
Edwards Illinois 83 86 103 73 78 65 51 9 17 0 0 1 2 5
Ford Illinois 110 138 99 87 96 47 29 21 55 22 15 0 10 11
Johnson Illinois 133 218 259 164 116 171 156 60 23 4 9 9 8 11
Lee Illinois 64 63 70 62 117 328 501 598 797 100 129 148 153 176
Ogle Illinois 107 82 51 33 19 26 17 16 31 8 16 12 53 122
Stark Illinois 4 14 6 9 7 6 10 9 10 0 3 4 2 7
Randolph Indiana 591 606 596 235 214 136 99 123 90 23 29 12 23 28
Steuben Indiana 8 6 8 22 10 21 8 12 25 7 16 19 42 40
Wabash Indiana 254 141 151 167 174 128 87 53 67 18 23 8 28 29
Cass Iowa 21 12 9 22 31 32 1 22 14 1 0 1 9 14
Page Iowa 247 232 234 262 250 225 50 106 48 12 0 9 17 15
Brown Kansas 263 422 488 457 450 381 291 173 138 47 36 79 72 58
Chautauqua Kansas 144 224 184 118 143 135 87 52 55 15 8 2 3 6
Doniphan Kansas 914 767 813 683 597 633 587 403 372 99 104 50 46 56
Osborne Kansas 61 106 118 69 16 26 18 25 23 4 7 6 2 2
Allen Kentucky 1,069 1,098 1,042 910 798 482 368 246 265 76 62 60 81 64
Butler Kentucky 820 773 725 561 475 397 272 149 72 20 13 7 11 14
Casey Kentucky 608 516 504 278 168 130 75 65 45 9 22 6 10 17
Clay Kentucky 706 413 564 494 449 299 393 471 455 73 86 112 114 104
Clinton Kentucky 311 188 175 94 65 55 52 47 30 9 7 0 7 12
Cumberland Kentucky 1,567 996 922 1,024 915 798 780 574 478 124 143 150 117 98
Edmonson Kentucky 199 452 458 439 360 187 154 125 102 25 25 44 11 14
Jackson Kentucky 45 54 19 22 4 18 21 3 0 2 0 0 1 3
Knox Kentucky 662 778 754 1,059 677 595 619 515 390 126 101 91 106 107
Laurel Kentucky 267 555 654 657 333 303 344 281 254 58 32 66 119 144
Leslie Kentucky 28 32 75 132 98 19 25 7 0 0 0 0 3 3
Lewis Kentucky 229 177 175 141 88 62 30 23 20 5 23 13 9 11
McCreary Kentucky   28 27 38 31 0 4 10 0 1 4
Monroe Kentucky 661 540 682 705 597 484 450 364 351 106 113 146 123 103
Owsley Kentucky 89 84 73 75 56 41 51 33 15 3 0 0 2 3
Pulaski Kentucky 1,196 1,291 1,336 1,187 976 861 814 777 622 179 179 224 217 269
Rockcastle Kentucky 437 155 157 125 70 75 29 11 2 0 0 0 2 1
Russell Kentucky 354 266 294 207 225 224 240 153 142 24 33 44 37 37
Whitley Kentucky 237 769 752 1,111 600 299 365 180 150 33 54 56 35 38
Garrett Maryland 112 185 126 107 45 24 4 9 39 0 1 0 12 55
Antrim Michigan 5 32 49 35 26 21 6 4 7 0 4 4 13 10
Hillsdale Michigan 59 48 35 22 19 11 5 31 28 15 25 12 37 54
Missaukee Michigan 0 0 7 15 16 11 3 2 1 0 2 2 5 8
Sanilac Michigan 32 15 11 8 6 8 8 7 4 3 4 2 15 24
Camden Missouri 114 97 95 46 31 13 12 5 11 3 4 27 39 67
Douglas Missouri 26 33 27 8 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 2
Gasconade Missouri 167 86 68 41 53 43 8 9 2 2 0 8 10 10
Ozark Missouri 13 12 26 16 6 4 0 9 0 0 0 0 3 2
Putnam Missouri 23 35 16 20 8 1 1 2 2 0 0 0 1 0
Stone Missouri 28 10 4 1 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 7 10
Taney Missouri 4 3 2 1 4 1 0 5 0 0 0 5 38 151
Warren Missouri 954 725 614 478 315 327 305 259 356 116 173 136 178 226
Keya Paha Nebraska   24 0 7 12 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Allegany New York 377 331 353 325 216 169 162 142 102 30 31 21 70 66
Genesee New York 151 129 161 162 191 339 343 429 741 251 326 370 370 456
Livingston New York 293 247 232 344 357 473 515 608 839 221 197 206 219 220
Orleans New York 224 194 108 147 112 84 199 319 1,462 423 493 488 499 522
Tioga New York 445 360 309 242 161 146 155 177 189 86 100 82 98 118
Wyoming New York 98 57 47 88 94 76 322 581 807 55 26 33 34 23
Avery North Carolina   243 277 259 204 151 20 13 20 16 26
Mitchell North Carolina 503 553 536 348 56 56 58 48 38 9 12 13 12 14
Wilkes North Carolina 1,924 2,034 2,437 2,591 2,322 2,696 2,825 2,707 2,694 665 928 1,060 1,098 1,183
Yadkin North Carolina 1,544 1,368 1,174 1,187 1,102 986 1,175 1,097 1,128 316 410 449 455 455
Clinton Ohio 1,463 1,296 1,199 939 730 633 644 633 680 226 199 261 315 332
Fulton Ohio 55 23 21 6 13 25 6 23 36 10 5 17 32 53
Major Oklahoma   90 45 41 30 20 12 4 2 1 3 7
Bradford Pennsylvania 537 599 309 234 137 115 140 75 57 18 45 40 52 75
Cameron Pennsylvania 8 84 39 31 46 21 22 6 11 2 7 0 6 5
Huntingdon Pennsylvania 280 315 352 305 717 930 1,087 995 958 143 166 173 178 181
McKean Pennsylvania 326 299 302 251 313 217 191 80 75 18 17 37 24 38
Potter Pennsylvania 27 55 65 54 25 9 20 34 47 7 18 7 20 20
Snyder Pennsylvania 19 5 3 4 3 2 14 53 156 2 7 10 50 80
Tioga Pennsylvania 115 91 85 73 106 89 119 119 77 19 45 40 55 64
Union Pennsylvania 133 52 65 59 28 32 214 514 649 6 28 57 73 151
Wayne Pennsylvania 31 33 18 20 48 100 174 315 383 3 3 25 94 149
Campbell South Dakota 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hutchinson South Dakota 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 6
Lawrence South Dakota 97 63 106 177 50 28 17 12 6 7 0 10 15 24
Sully South Dakota 5 7 6 49 58 48 18 14 11 0 0 0 0 1
Turner South Dakota 0 0 1 0 17 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 4
Carter Tennessee 628 697 661 660 569 528 503 402 435 96 157 156 203 271
Cocke Tennessee 1,447 1,307 1,261 1,051 849 726 671 635 712 175 190 196 253 263
Grainger Tennessee 829 685 650 483 447 306 255 208 177 43 64 40 29 38
Hancock Tennessee 482 727 273 481 256 162 234 110 99 27 10 22 12 6
Hawkins Tennessee 2,641 2,268 2,154 1,805 1,201 1,069 1,001 1,061 1,050 285 301 329 359 321
Henderson Tennessee 3,016 2,365 2,637 1,918 1,766 1,693 1,701 1,701 1,713 456 575 663 826 931
Jefferson Tennessee 2,500 2,153 2,174 1,639 1,428 1,276 1,088 974 926 223 295 281 366 358
Johnson Tennessee 470 350 368 377 306 301 193 178 138 36 24 20 24 25
Scott Tennessee 157 366 335 97 16 15 1 6 3 0 0 16 2 2
Unicoi Tennessee 119 219 130 131 4 13 11 11 5 3 5 3 2 6
Wayne Tennessee 1,069 884 1,144 845 681 406 394 270 206 64 47 40 44 40
Kane Utah 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 1 2
Floyd Virginia 1,274 1,175 1,075 837 675 515 502 490 532 104 96 112 130 133
Grant West Virginia 503 379 262 253 232 240 249 242 232 47 57 46 35 38
Morgan West Virginia 197 275 220 177 150 178 201 147 126 28 37 31 32 38
Preston West Virginia 206 134 162 151 147 92 58 124 100 19 25 33 30 39
Ritchie West Virginia 64 36 26 26 13 7 9 5 1 0 0 2 7 8
Upshur West Virginia 201 256 221 226 196 201 155 92 71 19 20 29 22 27
0 blacks/0 black households 5 4 3 3 4 5 8 1 8 20 22 19 3 3
<10 blacks/≤5 black households 11 9 13 12 13 15 21 23 22 35 32 30 22 17
≤25 black households   59 56 53 47 43
0 blacks/0 black households 5.32% 4.26% 3.19% 3.19% 4.26% 5.32% 8.51% 1.06% 8.51% 21.28% 23.40% 20.21% 3.19% 3.19%
<10 blacks/≤5 black households 11.70% 9.57% 13.83% 12.77% 13.83% 15.96% 22.34% 24.47% 23.40% 37.23% 34.04% 31.91% 23.40% 18.09%
≤25 black households   62.77% 59.57% 56.38% 50.00% 45.74%

Conclusions:

Given that the great majority of rural areas outside the plantation South excluded blacks after Reconstruction — especially in the Plains and Mountain States as can be seen from the South Dakota counties shown above — it cannot be said that the persistent Republican counties were exceptional. In fact, many consistently Republican counties in far eastern Tennessee, the Eastern Panhandle of West Virginia, the eastern Pennyroyal of Kentucky, and parts of eastern Kansas notably never entirely excluded blacks.

The documented sundown county of Scott in Tennessee (heavily discussed in Sundown Towns) and the highly probable sundown county of Ritchie in West Virginia (not discussed at all; I intend to discuss this case in a supplementary post) lie geographically isolated from non-sundown persistent GOP counties in the same states, although the probable though undocumented sundown counties of Tyler and Doddridge border Ritchie County and have historically been almost as Republican. Both Scott and Ritchie are adjacent to secessionist and Democratic sundown counties, as are other counties in the above table in Kentucky and Missouri.

Discussing with Löwen before he died, we both agreed that it was generally easier to confirm the sundown status of counties which once did have significant numbers of black residents. Counties that never had any black residents — like those in the Great Plains or Kane County, Utah — we both agreed as very difficult to research. What the smallest maximum pre-sundown black population that can be easily researched is does not seem to be easily measured: although the Plains counties were never researched, Löwen did research a great deal the sundown policies of the entire Ozark region in Missouri and Arkansas, and the above table shows above that even at the end of Reconstruction this region had very few blacks. Missaukee County in Michigan is another similar case — not discussed individually by Löwen, but as part of a wider sundown region.