The question of whether other super-polluters exists at a more local level has interested me recently. The fifty states of the United States provide a unique opportunity to examine this possibility, because I have long known of statewide breakdowns of fossil fuel production for coal, oil and natural gas, which can be used to approximate state-by state cumulative and present extraction-based greenhouse gas emissions.
Whilst it was too difficult for me to print all the figures, I have shown for each US state details of:
- percentage of cumulative US extraction-based emissions
- percentage of global cumulative extraction-based emissions
- percent of current US population
- percent of current US emissions
- percent or ratio to total US extraction-based emissions per capita
- I have used percent where the ratio is less than one, and ratio if it is greater
- percent or ratio to global extraction-based emissions per capita
It might be noted that there are small extraction-based emissions from other sources which I did not calculate for lack of time and unavailability of data. (Extraction-based emissions are not zero for polities producing no fossil fuels currently or cumulatively, which includes a third of US states). Nevertheless, this table should be a clue as to which US state ruling classes are the biggest profiteers from global warming.
I have also shaded “red wall” states in red and “blue wall” states in blue to see how much US political divides relate to actual greenhouse gas emissions.
US Extraction-Based Emissions by State:
State |
Percentage of US cumulative emissions
|
Percentage of global cumulative emissions
|
Percent of US population (2020s)
|
Percent of Present US emissions
|
Percent of or ratio to US per capita emissions
|
Percent of or ratio to global per capita emissions
|
Alabama
|
1.65%
|
0.36%
|
1.52%
|
0.63%
|
41.526%
|
1.356784592
|
Alaska
|
2.29%
|
0.50%
|
0.22%
|
1.63%
|
7.463
|
24.38419474
|
Arizona
|
0.31%
|
0.07%
|
2.23%
|
0.00%
|
0.012%
|
0.04%
|
Arkansas
|
0.46%
|
0.10%
|
0.91%
|
0.47%
|
51.978%
|
1.698253119
|
California
|
3.59%
|
0.78%
|
11.62%
|
1.08%
|
9.294%
|
30.36%
|
Colorado
|
2.02%
|
0.44%
|
1.76%
|
3.67%
|
2.089
|
6.824671159
|
Connecticut
|
1.08%
|
|||||
Delaware
|
0.31%
|
|||||
Florida
|
0.08%
|
0.02%
|
6.89%
|
0.01%
|
0.149%
|
0.49%
|
Georgia
|
0.01%
|
0.00%
|
3.29%
|
0.00%
|
0.000%
|
0.00%
|
Hawaii
|
0.43%
|
|||||
Idaho
|
0.05%
|
0.01%
|
0.59%
|
0.00%
|
0.269%
|
0.88%
|
Illinois
|
4.83%
|
1.05%
|
3.74%
|
1.88%
|
50.252%
|
1.641858174
|
Indiana
|
1.95%
|
0.42%
|
2.04%
|
1.13%
|
55.179%
|
1.802853651
|
Iowa
|
0.00%
|
0.00%
|
0.96%
|
0.00%
|
0.000%
|
0.00%
|
Kansas
|
1.30%
|
0.28%
|
0.88%
|
0.37%
|
42.098%
|
1.375445865
|
Kentucky
|
6.69%
|
1.45%
|
1.35%
|
1.45%
|
1.071
|
3.500860065
|
Louisiana
|
5.64%
|
1.22%
|
1.35%
|
3.66%
|
2.700
|
8.821153759
|
Maine
|
0.41%
|
|||||
Maryland
|
0.29%
|
0.06%
|
1.85%
|
0.06%
|
3.498%
|
11.43%
|
Massachusetts
|
2.10%
|
|||||
Michigan
|
0.27%
|
0.06%
|
2.99%
|
0.11%
|
3.540%
|
11.57%
|
Minnesota
|
1.71%
|
|||||
Mississippi
|
0.44%
|
0.10%
|
0.87%
|
0.29%
|
16.721%
|
54.63%
|
Missouri
|
0.04%
|
0.01%
|
1.84%
|
0.00%
|
0.220%
|
0.72%
|
Montana
|
1.56%
|
0.34%
|
0.34%
|
1.54%
|
4.607
|
15.05241983
|
Nebraska
|
0.06%
|
0.01%
|
0.59%
|
0.01%
|
2.153%
|
7.03%
|
Nevada
|
0.01%
|
0.00%
|
0.96%
|
0.00%
|
0.184%
|
0.60%
|
New Hampshire
|
0.42%
|
|||||
New Jersey
|
2.80%
|
|||||
New Mexico
|
2.70%
|
0.59%
|
0.63%
|
7.13%
|
11.355
|
37.10152528
|
New York
|
0.02%
|
0.01%
|
5.85%
|
0.01%
|
0.194%
|
0.63%
|
North Carolina
|
3.25%
|
|||||
North Dakota
|
1.72%
|
0.37%
|
0.23%
|
5.23%
|
22.297
|
72.84921958
|
Ohio
|
3.05%
|
0.66%
|
3.50%
|
2.52%
|
72.055%
|
2.35423961
|
Oklahoma
|
3.52%
|
0.76%
|
1.21%
|
3.69%
|
3.057
|
9.987822025
|
Oregon
|
0.00%
|
0.00%
|
1.26%
|
0.20%
|
15.952%
|
52.12%
|
Pennsylvania
|
12.84%
|
2.78%
|
3.85%
|
9.41%
|
2.441
|
7.974852848
|
Rhode Island
|
0.33%
|
|||||
South Carolina
|
1.61%
|
|||||
South Dakota
|
0.01%
|
0.00%
|
0.27%
|
0.01%
|
2.777%
|
9.07%
|
Tennessee
|
0.46%
|
0.10%
|
2.13%
|
0.00%
|
0.219%
|
0.71%
|
Texas
|
16.23%
|
3.52%
|
9.22%
|
24.74%
|
2.683
|
8.767608641
|
Utah
|
1.15%
|
0.25%
|
1.03%
|
1.10%
|
1.070
|
3.495456591
|
Vermont
|
0.19%
|
|||||
Virginia
|
1.82%
|
0.40%
|
2.60%
|
0.61%
|
23.374%
|
76.37%
|
Washington
|
0.07%
|
0.02%
|
2.34%
|
0.00%
|
0.000%
|
0.00%
|
West Virginia
|
10.05%
|
2.18%
|
0.52%
|
6.81%
|
13.060
|
42.66954766
|
Wisconsin
|
1.76%
|
|||||
Wyoming
|
10.11%
|
2.19%
|
0.17%
|
13.47%
|
77.804
|
254.2074428
|
Federal offshore
|
2.71%
|
0.59%
|
|
7.08%
|
|
|
The table above shows a remarkable concentration of US greenhouse gas emissions, and a major political divide:
- Four states account for fifty percent of cumulative US greenhouse gas emissions
- Five states account for 61 percent of current US greenhouse gas emissions
- “Red Wall” states have 22 percent of the US population but produce 64 percent of emissions
- “Blue Wall” states have 34 percent of the population but produce only 9 percent of emissions
- as noted earlier, this figure is an understatement, but even so the “blue wall” states undoubtedly produce low emissions relative to population — lower than the global average
There is definite evidence of “super-polluter” states in Wyoming and perhaps North Dakota, West Virginia and New Mexico. Wyoming is a definite super-polluter, with per capita emissions 250 times the global average, half that of Qaṭar. It is the least populous US state yet the second-largest greenhouse gas emitter and third-largest cumulative emitter! North Dakota has per capita emissions comparable to Kuwait or the UAE, and West Virginia and New Mexico about half that. Excluding New Mexico, these have constituted Trump’s three best states in all his presidential campaigns, which is extremely telling. New Mexico is a complicated and very much sui generis state, which Trump did not win in any of his three campaigns and did not even trend Republican in 2024. It has a countercultural mountain culture akin to Colorado or New England in its highest lands, politically detached from the pollution-producing northwest and Plains regions. In the other three the political influence of fossil fuels is as hegemonic as in the Gulf oil monarchies, and this is also likely to be true in Texas and Oklahoma. Even more than with the Gulf states globally, the tax-free or low-tax policies of super-polluting US states limit the range of policies possible elsewhere in the country, as business relocation is easier.