Friday, 23 August 2024

Assessing the theory of a “Revolution of 1959”

Several years ago, I discussed how I had long noticed a shift in the late 1950s from spinners almost always heading the averages and wicket-takers, to pacemen equally consistently doing so afterwards. I called this putative change the “Revolution of 1959” as there were, in an undoubtedly short-sighted manner, changes to pitch covering in county cricket after the financial disaster of 1958.

The change that occurred over county cricket during the late 1950s was noticed to some extent in the press, but Wisden did not seriously note it until after the West Indies beat England in the 1963 series — then for the rest of the twentieth century one sees quite frequent lamentations of the decline of spin bowling in England. It is highly possible though that there is an element of code in these lamentations and that writers like Norman Preston, John Woodcock, Graeme Wright, Robin Marlar and David Green were more concerned to see England win more than to see more spin.

In order to test the hypothesis of a “Revolution of 1959”, I have compiled and tabulated below:

  1. the number of spinners amongst the top 30 non-touring bowlers bowling at least one thousand balls in each English season between 1919 and 1999
  2. the number of non-touring spinners who took over 100 wickets in each English season between 1919 and 1999
  3. the most wickets by a non-touring spinner in each season
High numbers of spinners have been coloured in gold, and low numbers of spinners and of wickets have been shaded in red. Extremely low numbers of spinners and total wickets by the leading spinner have been shaded in dark red. There could be some variations in these figures due to difficulties of classifying many bowlers, especially older ones.

Season Spinners in top 30 Spinners with over 100 wickets Most wickets by spinner
1919 13 3 164
1920 18 12 185
1921 14 10 167
1922 12 12 206
1923 13 15 209
1924 12 12 204
1925 13 12 222
1926 15 14 213
1927 14 6 193
1928 15 9 304
1929 16 13 267
1930 17 12 275
1931 14 12 276
1932 17 11 253
1933 15 11 298
1934 11 9 205
1935 11 12 212
1936 11 8 216
1937 13 13 248
1938 13 11 153
1939 12 7 200
1946 20 15 184
1947 17 12 238
1948 20 13 174
1949 16 17 183
1950 18 16 193
1951 15 11 157
1952 15 14 177
1953 17 10 172
1954 15 11 196
1955 15 18 216
1956 18 17 177
1957 14 13 212
1958 12 5 170
1959 11 11 122
1960 9 7 142
1961 9 11 128
1962 8 4 136
1963 12 7 126
1964 12 11 136
1965 6 3 121
1966 10 8 157
1967 9 8 136
1968 7 5 131
1969 8 2 102
1970 7 4 106
1971 15 4 131
1972 10 0 90
1973 7 1 105
1974 6 1 113
1975 11 0 85
1976 13 0 93
1977 7 0 87
1978 5 1 110
1979 6 1 106
1980 9 1 101
1981 6 0 90
1982 7 0 90
1983 7 3 106
1984 8 0 93
1985 3 0 72
1986 6 0 89
1987 4 0 88
1988 1 0 76
1989 3 0 67
1990 3 0 75
1991 6 0 88
1992 6 0 87
1993 5 0 85
1994 2 0 90
1995 4 1 105
1996 3 0 78
1997 4 0 66
1998 2 0 63
1999 4 0 66

If we study the table above, we do see definite evidence of a “Revolution of 1959”. We do see that the number of spinners in the top thirty does fall abruptly between 1956 and 1962, and to a lower level than seen at any point between 1919 and 1956. Moreover, the 1959 season itself saw no spinner take 125 wickets, whereas in every season from 1919 (in fact from 1905) to 1958 at least one spinner took at least 150. There is, indeed, clear evidence that increased pitch covering and other changes like a standardised 75 yard boundary and intensive use of pesticides and artificial fertilisers (which allowed balls to retain shine for much longer, often from one new ball to the next) reduced the influence of spinners in the late 1950s, and that the influence of spin has continuously declined since.

Some scholars have argued that the decline of spin began much earlier — with the response to Bradman’s prolific scoring in 1930. It is true that the unusual postwar predominance of spin occurred because World War II almost completely eliminated a strong England pace attack, and replacement pacemen did not get the training against top opposition during the war they did in Australia. Nonetheless, even between 1934 and 1939, there were never so few spinners in the top thirty as there have constantly been since the beginnings of World Series Cricket in 1977, and the decimated postwar pace bowling recovered before the proportion of spinners plummeted.

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